82 replies to this topic

[iargue]

Made 3 Neopoints. Loss probability: 55.5%
Made 14 Neopoints. Loss probability: 56.8%

Again same question as before...

Just for example if going higher gave a loss probability of 55.5% then the autoplayer should go lower,

From the little I know about the program and probability odds, there should never be a situation where your loss probability is more than 50% because if your loss probability is 55% then picking the other option must be 45% and thus the better option.

Can someone shine some light on this for me?

The loss probability its reporting to you is how likely it is to have picked the wrong answer. This is no determining the option its pikcing.

This is telling you, there is a 55% chance that we might not pick it right. Even though the chance of picking wrong is above 55%, its based on whats already been played, and what can be done. Based on that, we know that the most likely chance is this, but there is also a 55% chance we could be wrong.

Both sides dont have to have 50% of the probability. One side can have more then 50% of the probability, based on what we know is left.

[Tsunade]

The loss probability its reporting to you is how likely it is to have picked the wrong answer. This is no determining the option its pikcing.

This is telling you, there is a 55% chance that we might not pick it right. Even though the chance of picking wrong is above 55%, its based on whats already been played, and what can be done. Based on that, we know that the most likely chance is this, but there is also a 55% chance we could be wrong.

Both sides dont have to have 50% of the probability. One side can have more then 50% of the probability, based on what we know is left.

Oh, makes much more sense now, I feel silly -_-

[shirwin]

this is fantastic, got to 24 today.

god job

[stuuf]

Made 2006 Neopoints. Loss probability: 21.4%
28th turn, I love this !

[Whyumad]

Works awesome! Until my pet decides its boring but thanks!

[Inyecte]

Made 408 Neopoints. Loss probability: 30.0%

Thanks! i got the avvie very quick!

[Whyumad]

Well, didn't really have to much success with this but hey great program!
But I still haven't gotten the avie, does someone know how long it'll take?

Edited by Whyumad, 13 December 2010 - 09:43 PM.

[Sammiantha]

You need to get to round 16 before you'll get the avatar. Keep running the program everyday till your pet becomes bored and you'll get it eventually.

[Sockoo]

You need to get to round 16 before you'll get the avatar. Keep running the program everyday till your pet becomes bored and you'll get it eventually.

I got the avatar the first time i tryed . It's a great program

[Acheron]

Awesome program for getting the avatar!

[Whyumad]

You need to get to round 16 before you'll get the avatar. Keep running the program everyday till your pet becomes bored and you'll get it eventually.

I got maxed at 14 no wonder...
Thank you, will keep going till I get it!

[Kytano]

Whahahah!!!

My pets get bored fast

[Shirwinator]

i love this game, and the ap works really well

[Janine]

Thanks for this! Downloaded!

[RWS]

Does the program work yet for Mac? I know Abrosia does but wondering if the other programs do as well...

[danielburn]

Ooooh, that's cool, I can only play that game for so long before it makes me too angry to play right. I lose so many games because I choose higher on 3 and it's always a 2. ALWAYS! Can't wait to try it out.

hahahaha looks likek you're really unlucky!!

and thanks for this awesome prog!

[anbeezy]

Kudos. Got the avvie the first time I tried the program! :]

[vurty]

Works great xD

[Mariana7]

Any chance of we get frozen to use this program?

[Elindoril]

Any chance of we get frozen to use this program?

There's always a chance to be frozen when using programs.

But that doesn't mean the chance is anywhere near dangerous levels, you'll be fine.

[Basstar]

[11:29:25 PM] Made 7 Neopoints. Loss probability: 62.2%

hmmmm same problem again....

sorry 4 post before(didn't read enough) but i think this a buggy value

[02:24:29 PM] Made 10 Neopoints. Loss probability: 0.0% <-??

[Valderino]

Got the avatar at long last with this! YESSS!!!

Lost with a loss probability just over 5 though. q_q

[MysteryMunch]

[11:29:25 PM] Made 7 Neopoints. Loss probability: 62.2%

hmmmm same problem again....

sorry 4 post before(didn't read enough) but i think this a buggy value

[02:24:29 PM] Made 10 Neopoints. Loss probability: 0.0% <-??

For what it's worth, I've used this program a couple of times now and haven't gotten any loss probability above 50% yet. Maybe the bug has been fixed?

[tapeworm1]

Program works great!! No luck on the avatar yet!

[Satine]

Program stopped working on turn 16.
I copied the errorlog in here.

Traceback (most recent call last):
File "/cdx/svn/checkout/core/trunk/Program Manager/ProgramManager.py", line 1306, in run_with_except_hook
File "Programs/1016/TyranuEvavu.py.nc", line 160, in run
ValueError: list.remove(x): x not in list

Edited by Satine, 02 December 2012 - 07:08 PM.